Thursday, December 14, 2006

It’s all downhill from here, lads

The blogging phenomenon is set to peak in 2007, according to technology predictions by analysts Gartner.

The analysts said that during the middle of next year the number of blogs will level out at about 100 million.

The firm has said that 200 million people have already stopped writing their blogs.
Gartner has made 10 predictions, including stating that Vista will be the last major release of Windows and PCs will halve in cost by 2010.

Gartner analyst Daryl Plummer said the reason for the levelling off in blogging was due to the fact that most people who would ever start a web blog had already done so.

He said those who loved blogging were committed to keeping it up, while others had become bored and moved on.

"A lot of people have been in and out of this thing," Mr Plummer said. "Everyone thinks they have something to say, until they're put on stage and asked to say it."





The trick is to get on the stage, say it, and then say it over and over again in slightly different ways.

11 Comments:

Blogger Susan's Husband said...

Imagine, a technology based phenomenon that undergoes a boom / bust cycle! What an amazing insight.

I don't expect a global peak, as the standard usage curve continues to oscillate with subsequent peaks higher than the first one. Eventually the curve becomes asymptotic, but we're a long way from there in terms of weblogging.

December 14, 2006 4:42 AM  
Blogger Peter Burnet said...

The trick is to get on the stage, say it, and then say it over and over again in slightly different ways.

I'd say you are good for life in this game, SH, seeing as we often can't figure out what you are saying in the first place, but so love trying to figure it out. :-)

OT, I'm sure it has crossed the minds of most here that our favourite concerns may be a tad remote from what is in the forefront of the average young modern mind. If you want to know whether you have any residual connection with the younger generation, try this quiz. I got four right, so who knows, maybe I could just park that dang old objective morality for an evening and let 'er rip with the cool kids.

But maybe not. Although the pictures make it seem they think they are having lots of fun, sober reflection should make us see that it is only because they have yet to taste the sublime joys of arguing Darwinism in limerick.

December 14, 2006 5:10 AM  
Blogger Brit said...

That quiz nicely demonstrates the futility of the Esperanto project.

I got a resounding 6, thanks to some rather porn guesswork.

December 14, 2006 5:34 AM  
Blogger Peter Burnet said...

Fine, but we all have handicaps of 3, seeing as it's your home turf. Don't you know slang is completely on the other side of the pond, you wanker?

December 14, 2006 5:45 AM  
Blogger Oroborous said...

...the sublime joys of arguing Darwinism in limerick.

It's true that it doesn't get much better than that. It's very intelligent and witty, while also being tongue-in-cheek - very cool, to the GenX set.

Of course, I admire such from afar, having contributed no poems.

December 14, 2006 8:53 AM  
Blogger Harry Eagar said...

I heard somewhere the other day that there are as many blogs as blog readers; i.e., most don't have any readers.

Considering the content of some, that is expectable.

Of course, the average paper diary doesn't have any readers, either, but somehow that never made diary-keeping go extinct.

(I got 6 of 10 by guessing; I'd never heard of any of those words.)

December 14, 2006 10:30 AM  
Blogger Duck said...

The Daily Duck homepage is now up to a Google rank of 5. Pretty fetch, if you ask me. We'll survive the shakeout.

December 17, 2006 3:55 PM  
Blogger Oroborous said...

Yeah, you've made a modest success out of something that most people fail at - congratulations.

December 17, 2006 4:30 PM  
Blogger Duck said...

Congrats to all of the Duckians! I couldn't have done it without you.

December 18, 2006 8:23 AM  
Blogger Harry Eagar said...

What's a Google rank?

December 18, 2006 10:50 AM  
Blogger Duck said...

Here's everything you ever wanted to know about Google PageRank and more http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PageRank

I don't know how good a rank of 5 is, but it is up from a 3 from a year ago.

December 18, 2006 11:08 AM  

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